Gold price weaker ahead of another busy U.S. data day

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
Published
Updated
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Gold price weaker ahead of another busy U.S. data day teaser image

(Kitco News) - Gold prices are slightly lower and silver modestly up in early U.S. trading Thursday. Both precious metals are pausing ahead of another busy day for U.S. economic reports. Silver prices hit a five-week high overnight and are poised to push above the April high and to a more-than-three-year high. June gold was last down $5.40 at $2,389.40. July silver was last up $0.171 at $29.89.

Another busy day for U.S. economic data due for release Thursday includes the weekly jobless claims report, the Philadelphia Fed business survey, new residential construction, import and export price indexes, and industrial production and capacity utilization. Several Federal Reserve officials are also scheduled to speak today.

Asian and European stock indexes were mostly higher overnight. U.S. stock indexes are pointed toward slightly firmer openings and at new record highs when the New York day session begins. A slightly cooler-than-expected U.S. CPI report on Wednesday cheered the stock and commodity market bulls.

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index slightly up. Nymex crude oil prices are weaker and trading around $78.25 a barrel. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note is fetching 4.34%.  

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Technically, the gold futures bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close in June futures above solid resistance at the contract high of $2,448.80. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $2,300.00. First resistance is seen at the overnight high of $2,402.70 and then at $2,415.00. First support is seen at the $2,375.00 and then at Wednesday’s low of $2,357.10. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.5.

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The silver bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage and have gained good power this week. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing July futures prices above solid technical resistance at the April high of $30.19. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $28.00. First resistance is seen at $30.19 and then at $30.50. Next support is seen at the overnight low of $29.655 and then at $29.25. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 8.5.

(Hey! My “Markets Front Burner” weekly email report is my best writing and analysis, I think, because I get to look ahead at the marketplace and do some market price forecasting. Plus, I’ll throw in an educational feature to move you up the ladder of trading/investing success. And it’s free! Email me at jim@jimwyckoff.com and I’ll add your email address to my Front Burner list.)

Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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