Prices gains for gold, silver as traders await Powell, round 2

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
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 Prices gains for gold, silver as traders await Powell,  round 2 teaser image

(Kitco News) - Gold and silver prices are posting good gains in early U.S. trading Wednesday, just ahead of the second appearance this week of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell before the U.S. Congress. August gold was last up $18.80 at $2,386.70. September silver was up $0.299 at $31.355. 

Today for Powell it’s reporting the nation’s economic health to a House of Representatives panel. Powell told a Senate committee Tuesday the U.S. jobs market has “cooled considerably,” which further fueled speculation the Fed will cut interest rates later this year. Markets are expecting the first rate cut to come in September. Generally, the marketplace deemed Powell’s remarks on Tuesday as containing no new hawkish surprises. It’s doubtful Powell will deliver any surprises in his comments today.

Meanwhile, U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen Tuesday echoed Powell’s 
remarks by saying the U.S. labor market is no longer driving inflation in the U.S. Traders and investors are now awaiting the June U.S. consumer price index on Thursday and the June producer price index on Friday.

Asian and European stock indexes were mostly firmer overnight. U.S. stock indexes are pointed toward steady to firmer openings and at or near record highs for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq when the New York day session begins. In overnight news, China’s consumer price index rose just 0.2% in June, year-on-year, which was less than the expected rise of 0.4%. Food prices were down 2.1% in the same period.

A Dow Jones Newswires report today is headlined, “Central banks expected to keep hungrily adding to gold reserves.” The story said Citi analysts expect a record of around 1,100 metric tons of gold will be purchased by central banks this year. That would be up around 6% from last year.

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index slightly lower. Nymex crude oil prices are a bit weaker and trading around $81.25 a barrel. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield is presently 4.282%.

U.S. economic reports out Wednesday include the MBA mortgage applications 
survey, monthly wholesale trade and the weekly DOE liquid energy stocks report. 

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Technically, August gold bulls have the firm overall near-term technical advantage. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at the June high of $2,406.70. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $2,300.00. First resistance is seen at $2,400.00 and then at $2,406.70. First support is seen at the overnight low of $2,369.70 and then at this week’s low of $2,356.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.0.

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September silver futures bulls have the firm overall near-term technical advantage. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at the May high of $33.05. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at the June low of $28.90. First resistance is seen at last week’s high of $31.79 and then at $32.00. Next support is seen at this week’s low of $30.71 and then at $30.45. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.0.

(Hey! My “Markets Front Burner” weekly email report is my best writing and analysis, I think, because I get to look ahead at the marketplace and do some market price forecasting. Plus, I’ll throw in an educational feature to move you up the ladder of trading/investing success. And it’s free! Email me at jim@jimwyckoff.com and I’ll add your email address to my Front Burner list.)

Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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