Hotter U.S. PPI report puts price pressure on precious metals

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
Published
Updated
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(Kitco News) - Gold and silver prices are solidly lower in early U.S. trading Friday and hit daily lows in the immediate aftermath of a U.S. inflation report that came in hotter than expected. The two precious metals extended their overnight losses that came after sharp gains posted Thursday. August gold was last down $23.00 at $2,398.60. September silver was down $0.966 at $30.70. 

The U.S. data point of the day sees the June producer price index report coming in hotter than expected. The PPI was up 0.2%, month-on-month, versus expectations of up 0.1%. The “core” PPI (excluding food and energy) was up 0.4%, month-on-month, versus market expectations of up 0.1%. The May PPI was revised to unchanged from down 0.2% in the initial reading. 

Today’s PPI report follows Thursday’s consumer price index report for June that showed tamer inflation. Asian and European stock indexes were mixed overnight. U.S. stock indexes are pointed toward mixed openings when the New York day session begins. 

The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq hit record highs Thursday and then backed off on profit taking.

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index a bit weaker.
Nymex crude oil prices are higher and trading around $83.25 a barrel. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield is presently 4.216%.
Other U.S. economic reports out Friday include the University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey.

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Technically, August gold bulls have the firm overall near-term technical
advantage. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at the May contract high of $2,477.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at the June low of $2,304.20. First resistance is seen at the overnight high of $2,421.80 and then at this week’s high of $2,430.40. First support is seen at today’s low of $2,396.90 and then at Thursday’s low of $2,376.80. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.0.

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September silver futures bulls have the firm overall near-term technical advantage. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices 
above solid technical resistance at the May high of $33.05. The next 
downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid 
support at the June low of $28.90. First resistance is seen at $31.00 and then at $31.50. Next support is seen at today’s low of $30.62 and then at $30.45. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.0.

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Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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