Gold, silver sell off as USDX rallies, oil drops

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
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Gold, silver sell off as USDX rallies, oil drops teaser image

(Kitco News) - Gold and silver prices are solidly lower in midday U.S. trading Wednesday, on more profit-taking in the futures markets, prompted in part by bearish outside-market forces at mid-week that include a sharply higher U.S. dollar index and lower crude oil prices. December gold was last down $19.20 at $2,533.40 and September silver was down $0.84 at $29.13.

Improved trader and investor risk appetite in the marketplace this week is also a negative for the safe-haven metals. The Middle East tensions remain high but have not escalated, as many expected, after the weekend military exchange between Israel and Hezbollah. And, Iran has not retaliated since the Israeli assassinations of Iran’s proxy officials. One school of thought is that Iran does not want to directly attack Israel because Iran thinks that would give Israel and its vastly superior air power the green light to take out Iran’s key nuclear installations that most believe are trying to make a nuclear bomb. One Middle East strategist said Israel has been waiting for a good excuse to seriously degrade Iran’s nuclear capabilities.

U.S. stock indexes are solidly lower at midday, on corrective pullbacks after making good rebounds from their August lows. The big event of the week in the stock market is Nvidia’s earnings that are out later today.

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index solidly higher on a rebound after hitting an eight-month low earlier this week. Nymex crude oil prices are lower and trading around $74.75 a barrel. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note is presently fetching around 3.82%.

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Technically, December gold bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage, but prices scored a bearish “outside day” down on the daily bar chart today. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at $2,600.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $2,475.00. First resistance is seen at $2,550.00 and then at the overnight high of $2,564.30. First support is seen at today’s low of $2,527.80 and then at $2,506.40. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 8.0.

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September silver futures bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage as prices are in an uptrend on the daily bar chart. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at $31.00. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $28.00. First resistance is seen at $29.50 and then at $30.00. Next support is seen at $29.00 and then at last week’s low of $28.795. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0

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Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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