Gold, silver firmer on ideas of more dovish central banks

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
Published
Updated
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(Kitco News) - Gold and silver prices are posting gains in midday U.S. trading Monday, with silver solidly up. The precious metals bulls are getting support from ideas of dovish central banks following last Friday’s downbeat U.S. jobs report and ahead of this week’s monetary policy meeting of the European Central Bank. Gains in gold are being limited today by a higher U.S. dollar index. December gold was last up $5.40 at $2,529.80 and December silver was up $0.457 at $28.265.

U.S. stock indexes are solidly higher at midday. The U.S. stock index bulls are working to recover last Friday’s losses following weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs growth in last Friday’s monthly employment report that once again raised fears of a U.S. economic recession. The Fed’s FOMC meets next week and the European Central Bank meets this Thursday.

The U.S. data point of the week is Wednesday’s consumer price index for August, which is seen coming in at up 2.6%, year-on-year, following the 2.9% rise seen in the July report. The “core” CPI (excluding food and energy) for August is seen up 3.2% annually, compared to a rise of 3.2% in the July report. The U.S. producer price index report is out Thursday.

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index higher. Nymex crude oil prices are firmer and trading around $68.50 a barrel. Oil traders are watching a storm brewing in the Gulf of Mexico that could turn into a hurricane. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note is presently fetching 3.714%.

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Technically, December gold bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at the record high of $2,570.40. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $2,475.00. First resistance is seen at $2,540.00 and then at $2,550.00. First support is seen at the overnight low of $2,514.20 and then at the September low of $2,502.70. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 8.0.

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December silver futures bulls and bears are on a level overall near-term technical playing field. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at $30.00. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at the August low of $26.885. First resistance is seen at $29.00 and then at $29.55. Next support is seen at $28.00 and then at $27.50. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.0.

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Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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