Gold price up on safe-haven buying, bullish charts

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
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Gold price up on safe-haven buying, bullish charts  teaser image

(Kitco News) - Gold prices are higher in early U.S. trading Tuesday, on more safe-haven demand and amid firmly bullish technical charts. Silver prices are slightly firmer and benefiting from the same. December gold was last up $16.80 at $2,676.20 and December silver was up $0.142 at $31.60.

Asian and European stock indexes were mixed overnight. China markets are closed for a holiday this week. U.S. stock indexes are pointed to narrowly mixed openings when the New York day session begins.

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell made some markets-sensitive comments in an interview Monday afternoon, hinting that the Fed will make two 0.25% interest rate cuts yet this year. That somewhat disappointed the monetary policy doves, who want to see larger rate cuts. The U.S. stock market briefly sold off before rebounding, while gold prices lost some ground Monday afternoon.

In overnight news, the Eurozone September consumer price index came in at up 1.8%, year-on-year, which is now below the European Central Bank’s inflation target for the first time in three years. That suggests more ECB monetary policy easing is coming.

The marketplace is keeping a close eye on developments in the Middle East. The Israel-Hezbollah military conflict now sees Israel putting troops on the ground in Lebanon. So far, Iran is staying out of direct conflict with Israel. However, this situation is fluid and is keeping safe-haven demand for gold and silver elevated.

In other news, broker SP Angel said this morning in an email dispatch that media reports have suggested the Russian Finance Ministry intends to buy 52 billion rubles worth of precious metals and stones. The INTERFAX news agency via Bloomberg said this will also include platinum and palladium. “The Ministry is aiming to boost the ‘liquid assets in the State Fund of Russia,’” said the broker.

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index higher. Nymex crude oil prices are weaker and trading around $67.75 a barrel. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield is on the decline and is presently fetching 3.764%.

U.S. economic data due for release Tuesday includes the weekly Johnson Redbook retail sales report, the U.S. manufacturing purchasing managers index (PMI), the global manufacturing PMI, the ISM report on business manufacturing, construction spending, the JOLTS survey, and domestic auto industry sales.

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Technically, December gold bulls have the strong overall near-term technical advantage. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at $2,800.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $2,600.00. First resistance is seen at this week’s high of $2,687.70 and then at the contract high of $2,708.70. First support is seen at the overnight low of $2,653.80 and then at this week’s low of $2,646.20. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 9.0.

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December silver futures bulls have the firm overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a seven-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at the May high of $33.50. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $30.00. First resistance is seen at $32.00 and then at $32.50. Next support is seen at the this week’s low of $31.155 and then at $31.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.0

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Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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