Gold, silver sell off on reports Hezbollah seeking ceasefire

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
Published
Updated
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(Kitco News) - Gold and silver prices are sharply lower and hit three-week lows in late-morning U.S. trading Tuesday, on news reports that the Hezbollah group based in Lebanon wants to discuss a ceasefire with Israel. Israel is presently conducting major military operations against the group in Lebanon. Market participants are deeming today’s news as a potential de-escalation of the Middle East tensions that have been elevated for weeks. December gold was last down $33.10 at $2,632.80 and December silver was down $1.40 at $30.61.

The Hezbollah news sunk the crude oil market, with Nymex crude down around $3.75 a barrel at $73.50 after hitting a 3.5-month high overnight. The U.S. dollar index has moved above unchanged today and is trading at its daily high, while U.S. Treasury yields have up-ticked lately—both bearish “outside-market” elements for the precious metals markets. The 10-year note yield is presently at 4.028%.

U.S. stock indexes are rallying today, which is also a negative for the safe-haven metals markets.

The highly anticipated economic briefing by China’s National Development and Reform Commission Tuesday “underwhelmed markets, offering little in the way of new stimulus measures,” said broker SP Angel. That news prompted sell-offs in the Chinese stock indexes, with the Hang Seng index dropping almost 10% and it’s biggest one-day loss in nearly two years.

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Technically, December gold bulls have the firm overall near-term technical advantage. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at the record high of $2,708.70. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $2,572.50. First resistance is seen at $2,650.00 and then at today’s high of $2,672.40. First support is seen at $2,625.00 and then at $2,610.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.5.

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December silver futures bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage but are now fading. A seven-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart is in serious jeopardy and bulls need to show fresh power soon to keep it alive. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at the May high of $33.50. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $29.00. First resistance is seen at $31.00 and then at $31.50. Next support is seen at $30.00 and then at $29.50. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5

(Hey! My “Markets Front Burner” weekly email report is my best writing and analysis, I think, because I get to look ahead at the marketplace and do some market price forecasting. Plus, I’ll throw in an educational feature to move you up the ladder of trading/investing success. And it’s free! Sign up here; it’s real easy. https://www.kitco.com/services

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Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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