Gold, silver sell off on firmer USDX, technical pressure

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
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Updated
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Gold, silver sell off on firmer USDX, technical pressure teaser image

(Kitco News) - Gold and silver prices are solidly down in midday U.S. trading Monday. A rally in the U.S. dollar index is a bearish daily “outside-market” element for the precious metals. Technical-based selling from the shorter-term futures traders is also featured today, amid a lack of fresh, bullish fundamental news recently. Look for a quieter trading day Tuesday, what with the New Year holiday coming on Wednesday when most markets worldwide are closed. February gold was last down $18.60 at $2,613.20 and March silver was down $0.558 at $29.41.

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index higher. Bloomberg reports “the dollar is headed for its best year in almost a decade as U.S. economic strength reins in expectations for the Federal Reserve’s rate-cutting cycle, and Trump’s threats of harsh tariffs underpin bullish bets on the currency.” Meantime, Nymex crude oil futures prices are firmer and trading around $71.25 a barrel. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note is presently 4.553%.

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Technically, February gold futures bulls and bears are on a level overall near-term technical playing field amid recent choppy trading. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at $2,700.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at the November low of $2,565.00. First resistance is seen at today’s high of $2,640.70 and then at last week’s high of $2,655.70. First support is seen at today’s low of $2,608.40 and then at $2,600.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.0.

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March silver futures bears have the overall near-term technical advantage. A nine-week-old downtrend is in place on the daily bar chart. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at $31.00. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at the August low of $27.39. First resistance is seen at $30.00 and then at last week’s high of $30.485. Next support is seen at the December low of $29.145 and then at $29.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.0.

(Hey! My “Markets Front Burner” weekly email report is my best writing and analysis, I think, because I get to look ahead at the marketplace and do some market price forecasting. Plus, I’ll throw in an educational feature to move you up the ladder of trading/investing success. And it’s free! Sign up here; it’s real easy. https://www.kitco.com/services

Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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