Gold prices above $2,800 as US core PCE rises 2.8% in the last 12 months

Kitco Media
By Neils Christensen
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Updated
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(Kitco News) - The gold market continues to see solid bullish momentum, with prices trading above $2,800 an ounce as U.S. inflation data remains stubbornly elevated, in line with expectations.

The Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, which excludes volatile goods and energy prices and is the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, increased by 0.2% last month, compared to November’s rise of 0.1%, the U.S. Department of Commerce reported Friday. Consumer prices rose in line with consensus estimates.

Over the past 12 months, core inflation rose 2.8%, unchanged from November’s reading.

Meanwhile, headline PCE increased by 0.3% last month and 2.6% for the year.

The gold market is not seeing much reaction to the latest inflation data, continuing to trade with solid bullish momentum. Spot gold last traded at $2,804 an ounce, up 0.31% on the day.

Analysts note that the latest inflation data presents a mixed picture for gold. Elevated consumer prices will likely prevent the Federal Reserve from cutting interest rates anytime soon. However, the fact that inflation remains unchecked poses a threat to the economy, reinforcing gold’s safe-haven appeal.

Analysts also point out that higher inflation and interest rates could pose a greater risk to already volatile equity markets, adding another supportive factor for gold.

The report also highlighted robust consumption growth, with personal spending increasing by 0.7%, up from November’s rise of 0.4%. The data exceeded expectations, as economists had forecast a 0.5% increase.

However, consumers continue to rely on debt and savings, as personal income rose 0.4%, in line with expectations.

The latest consumption data is likely to support expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged for the foreseeable future. On Wednesday, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell stated that the central bank is in no hurry to cut rates this year, given that inflation remains elevated and the labor market remains healthy.

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Neils Christensen

Neils Christensen has a diploma in journalism from Lethbridge College and has more than a decade of reporting experience working for news organizations throughout Canada. His experiences include covering territorial and federal politics in Nunavut, Canada. He has worked exclusively within the financial sector since 2007, when he started with the Canadian Economic Press. Neils can be contacted at: 1 866 925 4826 ext. 1526 nchristensen at kitco.com @KitcoNewsNOW

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