Mild price pressure on gold, silver despite risk appetite waning

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
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Updated
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(Kitco News) - Gold and silver prices are slightly lower in early U.S. trading Thursday. However, selling pressure is being limited as risk appetite in the general marketplace has receded late this week. June gold was last down $2.90 at $3,185.40. July silver prices were last down $0.119 at $32.325.

Asian and European stock markets were mixed to weaker in overnight trading. U.S. stock indexes are pointed to weaker openings today in New York.

Said David Morrison with Trade Nation today in an email dispatch: “It now feels as if the market is in limbo. There’s still a lack of clarity surrounding the Trump administration’s trade policies and this has created a feeling of uncertainty over the global economic outlook. All eyes are now focused on talks between the U.S. and other trading partners such as Japan, India and South Korea. Meanwhile, there are concerns about the extent of damage that may have already been done since President Trump announced his program of reciprocal tariffs early last month.”

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index weaker. Nymex crude oil futures prices are sharply lower and trading around $61.00 a barrel. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note is presently at 4.513%.  

A very busy U.S. economic data dump Thursday includes the weekly jobless claims report, the producer price index, the Empire State manufacturing survey, the Philadelphia Fed business survey, retail sales, industrial production and capacity utilization, manufacturing and trade inventories, the NAHB housing market index. Fed Chair Powell is also slated to speak today.

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Technically, June gold futures bulls and bears are on a level overall near-term technical playing field but the bulls are fading. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at $3,300.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $3,100.00. First resistance is seen at the overnight high of $3,195.60 and then at $3,200.00. First support is seen at $3,150.00 and then at the overnight low of $3,123.30. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.0.

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July silver futures bulls and bears are on a level overall near-term technical playing field. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at $33.48. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $31.00. First resistance is seen at $32.50 and then at $33.00. Next support is seen at $32.00 and then at the overnight low of $31.78. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.0.

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Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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