Safe-haven buying puts gold bulls back in business

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
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Updated
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(Kitco News) - Gold and silver prices are higher in midday U.S. trading Wednesday. A steady flow of safe-haven demand is pushing the precious metals prices higher this week. June gold was last up $27.60 at $3,310.70. July silver prices were last up $0.446 at $33.615.

The CNN news outlet has reported U.S. intelligence suggests Israel is preparing to strike Iran’s nuclear facilities. The marketplace is not too unnerved over the report. It’s likely Israel has had contingency plans to strike Iran’s nuclear facilities for years. Still, that news helped to put a bid into the gold and silver markets today.

The safe-haven demand includes stronger demand from China. Broker SP Angel reports today in an email dispatch: “We continue to see Chinese buying as the primary driver of the gold price, and the market was likely reassured by data showing April imports rose 73%, month-on-month, to 127.5 metric tons--an 11-month high. China’s central bank has recently allocated fresh quotas to commercial banks, boosting gold demand. Additionally, Chinese insurance companies are also being encouraged to boost their gold holdings, as China continues to diversify its foreign reserve holdings and asset base. Chinese retail buying of gold comes amid concerns over their domestic property market and Chinese yuan depreciation.”

Bloomberg reported overnight that Chinese jewelers and investors imported the most platinum in a year last month, as the precious metal’s stability enhanced its attractiveness over the more volatile gold market. Platinum and palladium prices are also rallying this week.

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index solidly lower. Nymex crude oil futures prices are weaker and trading around $61.75 a barrel. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note is presently around 4.57%.  

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Technically, June gold futures bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage and have momentum now.  Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at $3,400.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at the May low of $3,123.30. First resistance is seen at the overnight high of $3,322.50 and then at $3,350.00. First support is seen at the overnight low of $3,287.00 and then at $3,250.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5.

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July silver futures bulls have gained the slight overall near-term technical advantage. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at $34.015. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at the May low of $31.78. First resistance is seen at $34.015 and then at $34.50. Next support is seen at $33.00 and then at $32.50. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.5.

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Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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