Gold, silver down after stronger U.S. GDP; FOMC on deck

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
Published
Updated
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Gold, silver down after stronger U.S. GDP; FOMC on deck teaser image

(Kitco News) - Gold and silver prices are lower near midday Wednesday and hit three-week lows. The precious metals are being pressured by a stronger U.S. economic report that fell into the camp of the U.S. monetary policy hawks. December gold was last down $26.20 at $3,354.70. September silver prices were last down $0.531 at $37.755.

The U.S. economy expanded at an annualized rate of 3% in the second quarter, recovering sharply from a 0.5% contraction in the first quarter and outpacing forecasts of 2.4% growth. It was a strong showing, boosted by a slowdown in imports amid ongoing trade turmoil. The rebound was driven largely by a sharp drop in imports after a first-quarter surge tied to tariff-related stockpiling. Consumer spending also rose in the second quarter, though declines in business investment and exports partially offset the gains. Consumer spending measured via Personal Consumption Expenditures was at 1.4%, even with expectations and significantly above the 0.5% mark from the first quarter. This report will make it tougher for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates anytime soon.

Traders are awaiting the conclusion of the Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting that began Tuesday morning and ends this afternoon with a statement and press conference from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell.  The Fed is widely expected to leave its benchmark Fed funds rate range unchanged this week. However, many market watchers think Powell might indicate at this meeting the Fed could lean easier on the Fed’s monetary policy intentions this fall.

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index solidly higher and hit a two-month high. Nymex crude oil futures are firmer and trading around $69.75 a barrel. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note is presently around 4.4%.  

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Technically, December gold futures bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage but have faded. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at the July high of $3,509.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $3,300.00. First resistance is seen at today’s high of $3,389.30 and then at this week’s high of $3,302.40. First support is seen at $3,350.00 and then at $3,325.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0.

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September silver futures bulls have the firm overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in an uptrend on the daily bar chart. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at $40.00. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $36.00. First resistance is seen at $38.00 and then at this week’s high of $38.51. Next support is seen at today’s low of $37.57 and then at $37.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.0.

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Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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