Gold, silver gain as barrage of U.S. economic data on deck

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
Published
Updated
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Gold, silver gain as barrage of U.S. economic data on deck teaser image

(Kitco News) - Gold and silver prices are higher in midday U.S. trading Monday, in a quieter start to a U.S.-holiday-shortened trading week. Traders and investors are awaiting a heavy slate of U.S. economic data due to be released Tuesday and Wednesday. December gold was last up $16.60 at $4,096.20. December silver prices were up $0.342 at $50.245.

U.S. economic data due out Tuesday includes September retail sales, the September producer price index, pending homes sales, the Richmond Fed business survey, the monthly house price index, the consumer confidence index, manufacturing and trade inventories and the monthly Treasury budget statement. Wednesday comes the weekly jobless claims report, durable goods orders, the second estimate of third-quarter GDP, the advance economic indicators report, the Chicago ISM business survey, personal income and outlays (including the key inflation gauges), new residential sales, the weekly DOE liquid energy stocks report, and the Federal Reserve’s beige book.

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index slightly higher. Crude oil prices are firmer and trading around $58.50 a barrel. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note is presently around 4.06%.

Note: The gold market operates through two primary pricing mechanisms. The first is the spot market, which quotes prices for on-the-spot purchase and immediate delivery. The second is the futures market, which sets prices for delivery at a future date. Due to year-end positioning market liquidity, the December gold futures contract is currently the most actively traded on the CME.

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Technically, December gold futures bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at the November high of $4,250.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $4,000.00. First resistance is seen at $4,100.00 and then at last week’s high of $4,134.30. First support is seen at the overnight low of $4,036.40 and then at Friday’s low of $4,018.10. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5.

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December silver futures bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage but have faded. Their next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at the record high of $54.415. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $47.00. First resistance is seen at Friday’s high of $50.555 and then at $51.00. Next support is seen at today’s low of $49.37 and then at $49.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5.

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Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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