Gold price weaker, at nearly 4-month low

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
Published
Updated
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(Kitco News) - Gold prices are down and scored a nearly four-month low in early U.S. trading Monday. Technical selling in the futures markets amid fully bearish near-term charts, higher bond yields and a still-strong U.S. dollar index are a caustic cocktail for the metals markets bulls at present. June gold futures were last down $4.10 at $1,804.10. July Comex silver futures were last up $0.239 at $21.235 an ounce.

Global stock markets were mixed but mostly lower overnight. U.S. stock indexes are pointed toward weaker openings when the New York day session begins. The S&P 500 stock index last week had its worse week in 11 years. The U.S. index is now flirting with being in a bear market that is defined by the indexes being down 20% from its recent high. The Russia-Ukraine war, Covid lockdowns in China and inflation fears are hitting the equities hard.

In overnight news, China reported its April industrial output down 2.9%, year on year, which was lower than the gain of 1.0% that was expected by the trade.


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Meantime, the European Union cut the Euro zone 2022 economic growth rate forecast to 2.7% from its 4.0% earlier estimate.

McDonald’s announced it is pulling its businesses out of Russia due to Russia’s aggression against Ukraine.

The key outside markets today see Nymex crude oil futures prices lower and trading around $109.50 a barrel. Meantime, the U.S. dollar index is weaker in early trading. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note is fetching 2.921%.

U.S. economic data due for release Monday includes the Empire State manufacturing survey, and Treasury international capital data.

Live 24 hours gold chart [Kitco Inc.]

Technically, the June gold futures bears have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. A two-month-old downtrend is in place on the daily bar chart. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close in June futures above solid resistance at $1,850.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $1,750.00. First resistance is seen at the overnight high of $1,815.70 and then at Friday’s high of $1,827.60. First support is seen at the overnight low of $1,785.00 and then at $1,775.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 2.5

Live 24 hours silver chart [ Kitco Inc. ]

July silver futures bears have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. Prices Friday hit a 22-month low and are trending sharply down on the daily bar chart. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at $22.50 an ounce. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $20.00. First resistance is seen at $21.50 and then at $21.625. Next support is seen at the overnight low of $20.835 and then at last week’s low of $20.42. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 1.5.

Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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