Corrective price rebounds for gold, silver

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
Published
Updated
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(Kitco News) - Gold and silver prices are higher in early U.S. trading Thursday, on modest upside corrections following recent selling pressure. A weaker U.S. dollar index and higher crude oil prices today are working in favor of the metals market bulls. December gold was last up $7.60 at $1,641.80 and December silver was up $0.296 at $18.66.

Global stock markets were mostly lower overnight. U.S. stock indexes are pointed to mixed to weaker openings when the New York day session begins. Risk appetite is not robust at present, but neither is risk aversion. Traders and investors are trying to determine if the U.S. stock indexes have put in major market bottoms, or have just seen upside price corrections in downtrends that are still in place on the daily bar charts.

In overnight news, the Japanese yen hit a 32-year low against the U.S. dollar. Japan’s central bank refuses to raise interest rates, while other major central banks are raising rates. There is speculation the Bank of Japan will have to step and sell U.S. dollars to support the yen again.

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index weaker. Nymex crude oil prices are higher and trading around $87.50 a barrel. The U.S. Treasury 10-year note yield is presently fetching 4.13%.    


Inflation remains a threat around the world, central bank tightening will keep a lid on gold for now

U.S. economic data due for release Thursday includes the weekly jobless claims report, the Philadelphia Fed business survey, existing home sales and leading economic indicators.

Live 24 hours gold chart [Kitco Inc.]

Technically, the December gold futures bears have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at $1,700.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at the September low of $1,622.20. First resistance is seen at $1,650.00 and then at Wednesday’s high of $1,659.80. First support is seen at the overnight low of $1,626.30 and then at $1,622.20. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 1.5

Live 24 hours silver chart [ Kitco Inc. ]

September silver futures bears have the solid overall near-term technical advantage and have momentum. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at the October high of $21.31. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at the September low of $17.40. First resistance is seen at $19.00 and then at $19.29. Next support is seen at the overnight low of $18.15 and then at $18.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 2.0.

Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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