Gold price up as overall technicals remain friendly

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
Published
Updated
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(Kitco News) - Gold prices are trading higher in early U.S. trading Tuesday, as the overall technical posture for the yellow metal remains bullish. That continues to invite the chart-based speculators to the long side of the market, including doing some perceived bargain hunting when the market dips. Silver prices are down and hit a five-week low overnight. August gold was last up $13.80 at $2,408.50. September silver was down $0.116 at $29.205.

Asian and European stock indexes were mixed but mostly lower overnight. U.S. stock indexes are pointed toward mixed openings when the New York day session begins.  The stock indexes have at least temporarily been stabilized after steep sell offs last week.

The marketplace fallout from the semi-surprising weekend announcement from President Biden that he is pulling out of the U.S. presidential race, with the presumptive new Democratic candidate now being Kamala Harris, has not been severe. While being a rare U.S. political event, Biden’s withdrawal from the race and Harris’s stepping into the void has been orderly, organized and seemingly not disjointed.

Traders and investors are looking ahead to late-week important U.S. economic data that includes the GDP report on Thursday and the personal income and outlays report, including its inflation indicators, on Friday morning.

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index a bit firmer. Nymex crude oil prices are slightly down and trading around $78.25 a barrel. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield is presently 4.243%.

U.S. economic reports out Tuesday include the weekly Johnson Redbook weekly retail sales report, the Richmond Fed business survey and existing home sales.

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Technically, August gold bulls still have the firm overall near-term technical advantage. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at the record high of $2,488.40. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $2,300.00. First resistance is seen at this week’s high of $2,414.40 and then at $2,425.00. First support is seen at $2,400.00 and then at this week’s low of $2,385.20. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.0.

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September silver futures bulls have the slight overall near-term technical advantage but have faded badly recently. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at $31.00. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $28.00. First resistance is seen at this week’s high of $29.615 and then at $30.00. Next support is seen at the overnight low of $28.825 and then at $28.50. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.5.

(Hey! My “Markets Front Burner” weekly email report is my best writing and analysis, I think, because I get to look ahead at the marketplace and do some market price forecasting. Plus, I’ll throw in an educational feature to move you up the ladder of trading/investing success. And it’s free! Email me at jim@jimwyckoff.com and I’ll add your email address to my Front Burner list.)

Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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